CryptoPunk #5870 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Knitted Cap, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $83,876). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (160 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3359 2026-07-04: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-11: 28.4 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8627 2026-01-27: 28.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8408 2025-12-22: 39.0 ETH (43.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8343 2025-12-01: 28.4 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-24: 2.45 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 13.8 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-05: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-17: 74.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-13: 40.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.