CryptoPunk #5883 valuation (beta)
Male, Silver Chain, Chinstrap, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.1 ETH (about $73,005). 1σ range 29.6 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 37.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 54.7 ETH, 6.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 37.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5511 2026-07-16: 36.4 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #769 2026-07-03: 36.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-06-11: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5495 2026-05-06: 33.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5495 2025-04-22: 51.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6351 2024-12-02: 44.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5495 2024-11-13: 36.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-04: 0.65 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-17: 14.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-04: 24.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-17: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 97.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-24: 120 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.