CryptoPunk #5891 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Top Hat, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 46.6 ETH (about $106,032). 1σ range 38.2 to 56.9 ETH, 2σ range 31.3 to 69.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 77.8 ETH, 2.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 46.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.2 to 56.9 ETH, 2σ range 31.3 to 69.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1687 2026-02-01: 37.0 ETH (40.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9795 2026-01-25: 31.9 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9795 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3390 2025-10-07: 59.7 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7047 2025-07-28: 85.0 ETH (47.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7047 2025-05-12: 70.5 ETH (46.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7047 2025-05-04: 63.4 ETH (43.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8259 2024-12-29: 41.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-03: 51.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-31: 77.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.