CryptoPunk #5930 valuation (beta)
Male, Gold Chain, Handlebars, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.8 ETH (about $72,320). 1σ range 29.3 to 34.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 37.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 75.0 ETH, 10.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 34.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 37.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Handlebars -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8051 2026-04-09: 30.4 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8051 2026-04-08: 28.8 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3390 2025-10-07: 59.7 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2292 2025-09-13: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1370 2025-07-25: 58.7 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7685 2025-03-03: 58.0 ETH (48.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7685 2025-02-17: 60.0 ETH (50.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5542 2024-12-17: 41.8 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2019-09-17: 0.50 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-10: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-15: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 75.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-26: 59.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-17: 50.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.