CryptoPunk #5949 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Mole, Earring, Tassle Hat, Medical Mask, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $74,335). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.5 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 5,949 ETH, 97.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.5 to 34.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9205 2025-10-04: 92.5 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4898 2025-08-13: 58.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #588 2025-04-02: 53.5 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9068 2025-03-26: 43.7 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (85.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-08-03: 0.90 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2018-01-23: 0.80 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2018-10-02: 2.79 ETH (sale)
- 2019-11-04: 1.65 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-01-10: 5.25 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.