CryptoPunk #5954 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Knitted Cap, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.4 ETH (about $82,779). 1σ range 33.0 to 40.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 44.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.0 to 40.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 44.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-09: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-05-14: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-01: 15.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-16: 18.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-04: 69.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-02-06: 78.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.