CryptoPunk #5977 valuation (beta)
Female, Tassle Hat, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.6 ETH (about $69,617). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 70.0 ETH, 15.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8746 2026-02-02: 27.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5666 2025-11-16: 34.5 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8746 2025-10-13: 46.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8746 2025-10-10: 45.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5666 2025-08-15: 51.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #857 2025-08-10: 60.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8746 2025-01-14: 35.2 ETH (25.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-31: 28.3 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-14: 70.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.