CryptoPunk #5983 valuation (beta)
Female, Messy Hair, Cigarette, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.9 ETH (about $70,176). 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 35.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3646 2026-05-31: 30.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4700 2025-11-19: 31.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5869 2025-10-26: 38.8 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7155 2025-08-05: 52.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7155 2025-08-04: 50.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7104 2025-08-02: 53.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7104 2025-07-31: 52.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-07-20: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-23: 1.31 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.