CryptoPunk #5986 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Earring, Fedora, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.5 ETH (about $69,367). 1σ range 27.8 to 33.5 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 36.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 115 ETH, 14.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 33.5 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 36.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7036 2026-06-05: 31.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7036 2025-07-18: 44.8 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7036 2025-06-11: 48.0 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7036 2025-03-14: 41.3 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7036 2024-12-12: 41.5 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4336 2026-05-28: 78.0 ETH (73.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6906 2026-05-13: 34.9 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-28: 17.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 29.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 34.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 66.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-26: 114 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.