CryptoPunk #6104 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Mole, Wild Blonde, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 105 ETH, 8.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7897 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8450 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8293 2026-07-01: 70.0 ETH (67.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (92.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7367 2026-05-29: 55.0 ETH (53.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.