CryptoPunk #6123 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.7 ETH (about $84,131). 1σ range 31.8 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 75.0 ETH, 8.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.8 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2290 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9361 2025-10-27: 50.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4436 2024-11-23: 46.9 ETH (37.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4436 2024-11-22: 40.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-13: 0.10 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.