CryptoPunk #6139 valuation (beta)
Male, Spots, Normal Beard Black, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.5 ETH (about $85,305). 1σ range 33.7 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 59.8 ETH, 4.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3606 2026-07-21: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7820 2025-07-25: 58.5 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9622 2025-06-14: 46.7 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9622 2025-05-30: 48.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9622 2025-01-14: 41.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9622 2024-12-03: 45.7 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9179 2024-11-22: 43.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-20: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-23: 73.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-29: 110 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.