CryptoPunk #6153 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Earring, Messy Hair, Medical Mask, Horned Rim Glasses, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,836). 1σ range 28.9 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.4 to 37.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 249 ETH, 23.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.4 to 37.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Goat -7%, Earring -2%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-24: 52.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-10: 39.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-05: 36.9 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-10-15: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-22: 80.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.