CryptoPunk #6154 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Peak Spike, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.4 ETH (about $66,905). 1σ range 26.8 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 35.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.8 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 35.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Peak Spike -6%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1026 2025-08-09: 54.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1026 2024-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1026 2024-11-13: 30.9 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-08: 31.7 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-15: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-25: 2.70 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.