CryptoPunk #616 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Straight Hair Blonde, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7802 2026-09-04: 31.9 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1914 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2411 2026-02-08: 29.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-11-06: 50.0 ETH (42.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #486 2025-08-26: 51.5 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #486 2025-08-26: 46.7 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-28: 11.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-05: 100.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-26: 108 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-09: 39.8 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-31: 51.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 100 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-29: 101 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-08-26: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-21: 43.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-27: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.