CryptoPunk #6194 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Mohawk Thin, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $77,417). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3298 2026-08-17: 140 ETH (131 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1012 2026-05-06: 32.6 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1012 2026-03-24: 29.6 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1012 2026-03-15: 29.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5287 2026-01-16: 30.6 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5287 2026-01-14: 28.9 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6615 2025-12-04: 48.0 ETH (47.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5287 2025-11-20: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-11-13: 63.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-11-15: 65.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.