CryptoPunk #621 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Normal Beard, Earring, Peak Spike, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.1 ETH (about $91,206). 1σ range 34.9 to 46.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 53.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.9 to 46.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 53.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Earring -2%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2025-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2025-10-24: 37.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6118 2025-01-02: 39.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6118 2024-12-30: 39.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6118 2024-12-17: 41.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-11-25: 130 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-02-18: 56.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-28: 64.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.