CryptoPunk #6251 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Earring, Do-rag, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 55.1 ETH (about $125,189). 1σ range 41.6 to 72.9 ETH, 2σ range 31.5 to 96.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 180 ETH, 4.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 55.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 41.6 to 72.9 ETH, 2σ range 31.5 to 96.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%, Do-rag -6%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6883 2026-02-01: 30.7 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-01-16: 30.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-01-10: 29.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4325 2026-07-25: 38.5 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4325 2026-07-23: 32.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-16: 15.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 26.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.