CryptoPunk #6261 valuation (beta)
Male, Knitted Cap, Pipe, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,055). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 500 ETH, 32.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4473 2026-05-12: 42.0 ETH (42.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9390 2026-02-26: 32.8 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8781 2025-09-16: 50.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4473 2025-08-14: 59.8 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4473 2025-08-12: 62.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9686 2025-05-09: 55.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6892 2025-03-13: 45.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8965 2025-03-05: 50.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-11-15: 40.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.