CryptoPunk #628 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Earring, Stringy Hair, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,906). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 36.5 ETH, 0.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Stringy Hair -3%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2659 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2659 2026-05-15: 29.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #275 2025-09-15: 48.2 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #275 2025-09-14: 47.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4455 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6718 2025-03-27: 41.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6718 2025-03-24: 39.4 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #275 2025-01-13: 34.2 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-09: 12.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-17: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-29: 129 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-24: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-13: 59.4 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-24: 37.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2026-06-16: 31.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.