CryptoPunk #6295 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Earring, Stringy Hair, Cigarette, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.8 ETH (about $81,793). 1σ range 30.8 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 40.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 129 ETH, 14.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 40.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5655 2026-02-06: 40.0 ETH (40.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8476 2025-12-22: 36.6 ETH (41.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8427 2025-10-24: 37.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1020 2025-10-08: 49.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6193 2025-07-09: 41.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-06-21: 0.42 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-06-22: 2.95 ETH (sale)
- 2020-07-10: 2.59 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-02: 73.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 73.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 90.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.