CryptoPunk #6303 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Cap, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-06-28: 32.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4371 2026-05-20: 34.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2718 2026-02-01: 27.2 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3123 2025-11-18: 30.8 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9289 2025-01-18: 40.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-08-27: 0.30 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-09-11: 1.15 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.