CryptoPunk #6315 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Police Cap, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.4 ETH (about $102,748). 1σ range 36.3 to 49.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.0 to 58.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.3 to 49.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.0 to 58.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7582 2026-01-22: 30.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7582 2025-11-17: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6867 2025-07-07: 47.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5213 2025-06-30: 50.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8934 2025-01-09: 42.9 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8934 2024-12-24: 39.7 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6867 2024-11-22: 44.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-25: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2017-06-25: 0.20 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.