CryptoPunk #6353 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Shaved Head, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.8 ETH (about $81,782). 1σ range 30.8 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 40.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 89.0 ETH, 10.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 40.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8671 2025-11-26: 37.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2025-10-06: 51.7 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5973 2025-06-11: 45.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-19: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-23: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-08: 29.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-10: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 59.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-31: 72.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-03-08: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-26: 79.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.