CryptoPunk #6363 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Shaved Head.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.7 ETH (about $76,522). 1σ range 31.0 to 36.5 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 21.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.0 to 36.5 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard -7%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9218 2025-06-26: 39.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1241 2026-10-03: 35.2 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-08: 0.55 ETH (sale)
- 2020-04-28: 0.58 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 16.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-29: 103 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-08: 65.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.