CryptoPunk #638 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Chinstrap, Top Hat, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 66.0 ETH (about $150,044). 1σ range 45.7 to 95.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 137 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 66.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 45.7 to 95.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 137 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Chinstrap -5%, Top Hat +30%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8863 2026-06-05: 33.9 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9016 2026-05-19: 35.4 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9016 2026-05-11: 33.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2026-03-16: 33.0 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2025-07-20: 52.4 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5213 2025-06-30: 50.0 ETH (38.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9992 2025-06-04: 47.5 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2892 2025-05-02: 125 ETH (85.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-08: 18.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-08: 20.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-10: 130 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 180 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-09: 76.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.