CryptoPunk #6395 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Mohawk, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.0 ETH (about $65,995). 1σ range 26.3 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 23.9 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 56.9 ETH, 7.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.3 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 23.9 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Goat -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4777 2026-05-16: 35.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-06-19: 66.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-11: 74.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-03: 41.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-06-07: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-09: 44.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-22: 38.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-16: 41.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.