CryptoPunk #6396 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Normal Beard, Knitted Cap, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.6 ETH (about $86,211). 1σ range 32.2 to 39.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 43.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 39.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 43.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1824 2026-10-02: 45.5 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5559 2026-09-21: 30.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9541 2026-09-21: 34.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1824 2026-07-22: 34.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2595 2026-06-13: 31.9 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9541 2026-06-11: 36.9 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8632 2026-05-16: 45.0 ETH (41.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-07-22: 0.25 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.