CryptoPunk #6405 valuation (beta)
Female, Silver Chain, Earring, Mohawk Dark.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8276 2026-07-03: 36.4 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8276 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2127 2026-01-15: 29.4 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6277 2025-09-05: 58.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4161 2025-07-30: 52.4 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5085 2025-07-28: 54.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8544 2025-07-20: 45.9 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-28: 18.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-09: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-27: 85.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.