CryptoPunk #6407 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Knitted Cap, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 59.5 ETH (about $144,273). 1σ range 43.5 to 81.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 112 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 59.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 43.5 to 81.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 112 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Muttonchops -9%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3359 2026-07-04: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9516 2025-10-01: 46.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9516 2025-09-29: 46.0 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6117 2025-08-08: 53.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9516 2025-07-21: 49.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5870 2025-01-13: 40.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6117 2024-11-15: 36.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.