CryptoPunk #6408 valuation (beta)
Male, Crazy Hair, Cigarette, Big Shades, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.7 ETH (about $86,574). 1σ range 32.3 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 43.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 43.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4790 2026-03-13: 36.9 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4790 2026-03-04: 29.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8353 2026-08-08: 40.5 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8353 2026-06-27: 42.0 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (153 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-08: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2019-06-21: 0.48 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.