CryptoPunk #6412 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Cap Forward, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.1 ETH (about $75,221). 1σ range 30.5 to 35.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 38.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 62.5 ETH, 7.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.5 to 35.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 38.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3218 2026-08-29: 32.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (43.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-11-03: 3.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-11: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-21: 23.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-16: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-04: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.