CryptoPunk #6414 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Mohawk, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 62.0 ETH (about $150,332). 1σ range 44.4 to 86.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 121 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 62.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 44.4 to 86.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 121 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mohawk -8%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9700 2026-08-28: 31.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9700 2026-08-28: 32.5 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7173 2026-06-29: 88.9 ETH (85.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8116 2025-09-10: 49.4 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8116 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7414 2025-08-02: 100 ETH (56.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8116 2025-07-22: 50.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6724 2025-03-24: 42.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-05: 10.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-14: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 20.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.