CryptoPunk #6415 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Frumpy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.8 ETH (about $91,664). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4597 2024-12-02: 44.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4597 2024-12-01: 44.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4597 2024-11-14: 36.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8399 2025-07-29: 54.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2166 2025-07-20: 47.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #548 2025-07-16: 43.7 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1418 2025-03-05: 57.0 ETH (46.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-02: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2019-01-03: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-04-20: 64.4 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-07: 62.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-18: 66.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.