CryptoPunk #6416 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Earring, Wild Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.2 ETH (about $73,232). 1σ range 28.6 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 33.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.6 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 33.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2772 2026-05-16: 32.5 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9732 2026-05-16: 31.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9288 2024-12-19: 42.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9288 2024-12-12: 42.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.