CryptoPunk #6418 valuation (beta)
Female, Pigtails, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.6 ETH (about $69,617). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.0 ETH, 11.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2828 2026-05-16: 32.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5190 2025-07-20: 46.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5190 2025-05-13: 47.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #471 2026-09-23: 32.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5541 2026-08-23: 50.5 ETH (47.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-11-10: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-01-03: 28.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.