CryptoPunk #6421 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Mohawk, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.9 ETH (about $65,675). 1σ range 26.2 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 23.7 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.2 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 23.7 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mohawk -8%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4791 2026-04-25: 27.7 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 36.8 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 34.0 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-04: 33.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #540 2025-10-13: 47.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9891 2025-10-10: 50.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-11-23: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 18.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-01: 22.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-13: 42.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.