CryptoPunk #6424 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $82,605). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9706 2026-10-07: 37.7 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9706 2026-06-12: 42.1 ETH (39.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6585 2025-03-11: 45.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4204 2025-02-07: 39.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-08: 5.69 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-17: 61.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-25: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-30: 41.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.