CryptoPunk #6434 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Mole, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5917 2026-08-19: 31.4 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5917 2026-07-25: 31.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1470 2026-07-07: 52.5 ETH (48.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4046 2025-11-30: 30.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4046 2025-08-09: 54.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5137 2025-07-25: 51.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-01: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 41.7 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2024-08-06: 21.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.