CryptoPunk #6444 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Normal Beard Black, Earring, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.8 ETH (about $79,112). 1σ range 31.6 to 38.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 42.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.6 to 38.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 42.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Mole -7%, Earring -2%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2025-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2025-10-24: 37.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2835 2025-10-09: 51.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #986 2024-11-25: 42.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-01: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 94.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-18: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-02: 90.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.