CryptoPunk #6446 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Wild Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,055). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (53.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8632 2026-05-16: 45.0 ETH (41.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8295 2025-11-03: 54.7 ETH (45.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3713 2025-04-09: 55.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3713 2025-02-11: 42.0 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9634 2025-02-11: 47.5 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8460 2025-01-22: 60.0 ETH (45.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9634 2025-01-14: 47.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-04: 0.34 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-13: 21.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-08: 74.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-22: 110 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.