CryptoPunk #6457 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Stringy Hair, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $71,262). 1σ range 28.9 to 34.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 36.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 36.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6980 2026-07-02: 43.5 ETH (40.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-17: 27.7 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-08: 28.3 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5674 2026-01-02: 27.3 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-11-23: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-27: 15.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-10-28: 37.5 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.