CryptoPunk #6463 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Cap, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.6 ETH (about $101,505). 1σ range 37.3 to 53.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 63.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.3 to 53.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 63.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9993 2025-12-23: 33.7 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8594 2025-11-28: 36.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9993 2025-07-30: 58.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9993 2025-06-18: 53.0 ETH (38.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7425 2025-04-26: 85.0 ETH (58.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5774 2025-02-17: 44.0 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-11-08: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-07: 115 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.