CryptoPunk #648 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Peak Spike, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.9 ETH (about $81,671). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 18.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3298 2026-08-17: 140 ETH (131 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6785 2026-02-20: 38.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6785 2026-01-31: 27.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6785 2026-01-14: 34.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2025-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-13: 37.6 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 80.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.