CryptoPunk #6486 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Wild Hair, Welding Goggles.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.3 ETH (about $99,960). 1σ range 35.3 to 48.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 56.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 48.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 56.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Welding Goggles +29%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1707 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-08-03: 4.50 ETH (accepted bid, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2017-08-03: 4.50 ETH (sale, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2018-08-22: 0.36 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.