CryptoPunk #6488 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Headband.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,807). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 255 ETH, 20.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8159 2026-10-09: 35.9 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4942 2026-02-05: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9837 2025-08-19: 52.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9837 2025-08-09: 60.0 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8692 2025-07-30: 93.1 ETH (51.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9837 2025-07-26: 58.0 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4414 2025-05-13: 50.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.