CryptoPunk #6493 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Police Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.4 ETH (about $82,779). 1σ range 33.0 to 40.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 44.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.0 to 40.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 44.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8834 2024-11-24: 45.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8834 2024-11-11: 29.9 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4708 2026-05-07: 30.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2026-03-24: 31.8 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2026-02-05: 31.6 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2026-02-05: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-15: 22.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-19: 26.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-04: 25.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-04: 24.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-01: 19.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 98.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 128 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.