CryptoPunk #6501 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.2 ETH (about $82,797). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 40.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 40.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8332 2026-08-21: 33.9 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8332 2026-06-11: 31.2 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8783 2025-10-31: 39.9 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8488 2025-06-02: 48.8 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8488 2025-06-01: 46.5 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1385 2024-12-07: 44.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1385 2024-11-30: 42.7 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-28: 25.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 33.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 31.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-01: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-03: 35.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 44.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-16: 46.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-23: 109 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-25: 75.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.