CryptoPunk #6516 valuation (beta)
Male, Bandana, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.8 ETH (about $91,571). 1σ range 33.8 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 47.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 47.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-04-22: 29.4 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-04-01: 29.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8086 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8086 2025-11-04: 33.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2025-10-23: 41.5 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2933 2025-10-12: 46.7 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-03: 0.25 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-15: 12.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 14.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-24: 23.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-28: 25.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-14: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-16: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 130 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-24: 115 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.