CryptoPunk #6530 valuation (beta)
Male, Fedora, Cigarette, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8530 2025-10-31: 54.0 ETH (43.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6906 2026-05-13: 34.9 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4762 2025-10-30: 46.0 ETH (36.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8407 2025-10-27: 100 ETH (76.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9232 2025-07-27: 52.5 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4561 2025-06-30: 42.5 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-06-26: 48.4 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2567 2025-06-14: 52.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-12: 35.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-06-12: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-20: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-09: 37.3 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.